ABPW10 PGTW 112030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/112030Z-120600ZNOV2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
20.1N 167.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 167.0E, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM NORTH 
OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED EIR AND AN 111811Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE PASS 
DEPICTS A QUICKLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WHEN JUXTAPOSED 
AGAINST THE PREVIOUS 111337Z GMI PASS, WITH CONVECTION DISPLACED IN THE 
SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERIES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO 
FAVOR INVEST 96W WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE POSITIONED JUST TO THE 
EAST AIDING IN OUTFLOW, WARM (27-29C) SST, AND WITHIN A POCKET OF LOW 
(10-15KT) VWS. AUTOMATED AND MANUAL PHASE CLASSIFICATION WORKSHEETS 
INDICATE 96W IS A TROPICAL SYSTEM AS THIS TIME. GLOBAL MODEL FIELDS 
SUGGEST THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR 
SO, AND MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT THAT THINGS ARE LOOKING UP 96W. 
HOWEVER, NOW THAT IT HAS CONSOLIDATED INTO A DEFINED LLCC, IT HAS ONLY A 
SHORT WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY WHERE IT COULD STRENGTHEN TO TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION OR EVEN WEAK TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH, BEFORE IT TRANSITIONS TO 
A SUBTROPICAL AND THEN EXTRATROPICAL LOW OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 17 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS 
UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
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