ABIO10 PGTW 030630
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/030630Z-031800ZNOV2022//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
5.4S 94.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5S 94.8E, APPROXIMATELY 252 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A FULLY OBSCURED LOW LEVER CIRCULATION 
WITH DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING OVER THE CENTER.  A 030325Z ASCAT METOP-
C IMAGE DEPICTS A SWATH OF 27-32 KNOTS ON THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH 
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C), MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(20-25 KNOTS), AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE 
IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 93S WILL HAVE A SHORT 72 HOUR WINDOW TO 
DEVELOP, GRADUALLY DEVELOPING OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS, TRACKING 
SOUTHWEST THEN WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED 
AT 27 TO 32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 
1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A 
(WTXS21 PGTW 030600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO HIGH//
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