ABIO10 PGTW 020200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/020200Z-021800ZNOV2022//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 5.4S 
94.7E, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. 
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 011503Z ASCAT-C IMAGE 
DEPICT A DEFINED CIRCULATION SLIGHTLY OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION. 
UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES 93S IS IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, LOW TO MODERATE (15-20KT) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL 
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT 93S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS WITH SLOW DEVELOPMENT. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL 
FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1),//
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