ABPW10 PGTW 281300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/281300Z-290600ZOCT2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280751ZOCT2022//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/281221ZOCT2022//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE 
FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 28OCT22 0600Z, TROPICAL STORM 26W (NALGAE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
12.5N 126.7E, APPROXIMATELY 356 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, 
AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. 
SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.5N 139.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.2N 140.3E, APPROXIMATELY 147 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED EIR AND A 281033Z AMSU-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE 
IMAGE DEPICT CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A RAPIDLY 
CONSOLIDATING LLC WHICH IS ALSO DEPICTED IN A RECENT SCATTEROMETER IMAGE 
WITH 20-25KT WINDS IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS 
HAVE IMPROVED SLIGHTLY BUT REMAIN MARGINALLY FAVORABLE WITH INCREASED 
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, VERY WARM (30-31C) SST, OFFSET BY MODERATE TO 
HIGH (20-25KTS) VWS. THE LATEST GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODEL RUNS NOW AGREE 
THAT INVEST 94W WILL TAKE A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRAJECTORY AND STEADILY 
INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS CONDITIONS IMPROVE. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS 
HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 281230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO HIGH.//
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