ABPW10 PGTW 280000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/280000Z-280600ZOCT2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271951ZOCT2022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 27OCT22 1800Z, TROPICAL STORM 26W (NALGAE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
12.1N 129.6E, APPROXIMATELY 524 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, 
AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. 
SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 272100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.9N 
141.3E, APPROXIMATELY 191 NM EAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING ASSOCIATED WITH FLARING 
CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES INVEST 94W IS IN MARGINALLY 
UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS DUE TO HIGH VWS (25-40KTS) BUT IS OFFSET BY GOOD 
DIVERGENCE ALOFT. THE ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS 
WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-30C). GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE 
INDICATES A MORE GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION OF INVEST 94W, AS IT MEANDERS IN 
THE PHILIPPINE SEA THROUGH TAU 72. PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS WERE INDICATING A 
MORE AGGRESSIVE INTENSITY BUT HAVE SINCE BACKED OFF. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE 
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA.1.B.(1).//
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