ABPW10 PGTW 250600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/250600Z-260600ZOCT2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
11.4N 132.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 130.2E, APPROXIMATELY 390 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD, MONSOON DEPRESSION-LIKE CIRCULATION 
WITH ROBUST CONVECTION HIDING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) 
WITHIN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH A POINT SOURCE ALOFT, LOW 
(5-10KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT, WITH 
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST). 
GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT 93W WILL CONSOLIDATE, DEEPEN AND 
INTENSIFY AS IT MEANDERS NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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