ABPW10 PGTW 250100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/250100Z-250600ZOCT2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
11.6N 134.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 132.3E, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM 
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
SHOWS A BROAD, MONSOON DEPRESSION-LIKE CIRCULATION WITH ROBUST CONVECTION 
HIDING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITHIN THE SOUTHEASTERN 
QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH A POINT SOURCE ALOFT, LOW (5-10KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(VWS), AND WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST). SIGNIFICANT 
MOISTURE IS BEING FED INTO THE CIRCULATION BY STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. 
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL DEEPEN AND INTENSIFY 
AS IT MEANDERS NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS 
UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
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