ABPW10 PGTW 240600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/240600Z-250600ZOCT2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.6N 
134.9E, APPROXIMATELY 584 NM WEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD, DISORGANIZED LLCC WITH DISPLACED AND 
FRAGMENTED BANDING IN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. A 240052Z ASCAT-B PASS 
DEPICTS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH CONVERGENT WINDS OVER THE EASTERN 
SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW 
VWS (5-10KTS), WARM SSTS (29-30C) SLIGHTLY OFFSET BY WEAK EASTERN 
OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93W WILL REMAIN 
QUASI-STATIONARY WITH SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS, BEFORE 
INTENSIFYING AND TRACKING NORTHWARD AFTER 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE 
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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