ABIO10 PGTW 221530
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/221530Z-221800ZOCT2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221451ZOCT2022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
11.6N 93.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 90.6E, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM SOUTH 
OF CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
SHOWS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH IMPROVED CONVECTIVE BANDING AND DEEP 
CONVECTION BUILDING OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 
221213Z SSMIS 91GHZ COLOR COMPOSITE MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS CURVED DEEP 
CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A MORE DEFINED LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (29-30C), LOW VWS (10-15KTS), AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW 
ENHANCED BY A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER INDIA. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN 
AGREEMENT WITH 92B MOVING NORTHWARD INTO BANGLADESH OVER THE NEXT TWO 
DAYS WITH STEADY DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
HIGH. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 221500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO HIGH.//
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