ABPW10 PGTW 191500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/191500Z-200600ZOCT2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191353ZOCT2022//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181951ZOCT2022//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191421ZOCT2022//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE 
FINAL WARNING. REF C IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 19OCT22 1200Z, TROPICAL STORM 23W (NESAT) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 17.2N 109.4E, APPROXIMATELY 96 NM NORTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, 
AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN33 PGTW 191500) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) AT 18OCT22 1800Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (HAITANG) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 161.1E, APPROXIMATELY 632 NM NORTHEAST OF MINAMI 
TORI SHIMA, JAPAN AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 182100) FOR THE 
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
21.0N 130.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 130.7E, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM 
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF APARRI, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PERSISTENT CONVECTION OBSCURING A PARTIALLY 
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 190932Z SSMIS 91GHZ COLOR 
COMPOSITE MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLC WITH 
FORMATIVE DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. A 
191205Z ASCAT-B PASS REVEALS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH 20 KT 
WINDS TO THE EAST AND 20-25KT WINDS OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE 
ASSOCIATED WITH AN ADJACENT NORTHEAST COLD SURGE. ADDITIONALLY, A 
191000Z SHIP REPORT 150 NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST REPORTS 24 KT WINDS. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR 
INTENSIFICATION AS SHOWN BY 10-15KT VWS, ROBUST UPPER LEVEL 
DIVERGENCE WITH STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH A 
WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS WITH STEADY DEVELOPMENT.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF C (WTPN21 PGTW 
191430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO HIGH//
NNNN