ABPW10 PGTW 180300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/180300Z-180600ZOCT2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180151ZOCT2022//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180152ZOCT2022//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 18OCT22 0000Z, TYPHOON 23W (NESAT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 
113.7E, APPROXIMATELY 248 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF 
A (WTPN33 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 18OCT22 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (TWENTYFOUR) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 158.2E, APPROXIMATELY 347 NM NORTHEAST OF MINAMI 
TORI SHIMA, JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS 
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE 
ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 
180300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
27.1N 156.7E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 
PARA. 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 19.2N 
132.4E, APPROXIMATELY 502 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, 
JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 172252 GMI 89 
GHZ IMAGE SHOW SHALLOW AND DISORGANIZED FLARING CONVECTION THAT IS 
SHEARED SOUTHWESTWARD FROM A WEAK, RAGGED, AND FULLY-EXPOSED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE SYSTEM IS IN A 
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY STRONG 
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28C-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET 
BY MODERATE (15-25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN 
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL  PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1012 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING 
STATUS. ADDED LOW AREA TO PARA 1.B.(2).//
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