WTXS31 PGTW 091500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BALITA) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BALITA) WARNING NR 008    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   091200Z --- NEAR 15.6S 87.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S 87.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   100000Z --- 16.2S 87.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   101200Z --- 16.0S 86.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 15.8S 87.1E.
09OCT22. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (BALITA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
998 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAPIDLY WEAKENING SYSTEM 
WITH EXTENSIVE COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS ADVECTING OVER THE WESTERN 
SEMICIRCLE OF A BROADENING, RAGGED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 
091101Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING 
AROUND THE WEAKLY-DEFINED LLC WITH POORLY-ORGANIZED, RAPIDLY-DECAYING 
DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED OVER 250NM TO THE SOUTHEAST. ADDITIONALLY, 
THE SYSTEM IS ENTRAINING DRY AIR AND POSITIONED OVER MARGINAL SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES (25C). TC 03S HAS SLOWED AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN 
WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A STRONG LOW-LEVEL HIGH 
ENTRENCHED TO THE SOUTH WITH DISSIPATION ANTICIPATED BY TAU 12. DUE 
TO THE STRONG GRADIENT BETWEEN THE SYSTEM AND THE HIGH, A BELT OF 30-
35 KNOT EASTERLIES WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THIS IS THE 
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR 
HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. 
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 15 FEET.//
NNNN