ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZOCT2022// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.9N 132.1E, APPROXIMATELY 645 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 090448Z ATMS 88.2GHZ PASS DEPICT A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A POORLY DEFINED CENTER, WITH PERSISTENT INTENSE CONVECTION FORMING ALONG THE NORTHERN FLANK DUE TO STRONG EASTERLY CONVERGENCE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION AS DEPICTED BY STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15KT) UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. NUMERICAL MODELS INDICATE A WESTWARD TRACK WITH SLOW DEVELOPMENT IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AND GREATER INTENSIFICATION IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN