ABIO10 PGTW 050230 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN REISSUED/050230Z-051800ZOCT2022// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZOCT2022// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.1S 88.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6S 87.6E, APPROXIMATELY 908NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 042315Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES WRAPPING INTO A DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY- FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (30 TO 40 KNOTS) OFFSET BY ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (27-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS WITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 050200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO HIGH.// NNNN