ABIO10 PGTW 261300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/261300Z-261800ZSEP2022//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.7S 
83.1E, APPROXIMATELY 706 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 260330Z ASCAT PASS DEPICT A DEFINED 
CIRCULATION WITH STRONG CONVECTION AND WINDS IN THE EASTERN QUADRANTS. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES INVEST 91S IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT DUE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (30-40 KTS), CONVERGENCE 
ALOFT, AND COOL (25-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN 
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 91S WILL TRACK WEST-NORTHWEST AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS 
LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO LOW//
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