ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS 250600Z-260600ZSEP2022// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250152ZSEP2022// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/242221ZSEP2022// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 25SEP22 0300Z, SUPER TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 123.1E, APPROXIMATELY 158 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 146.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 146.2E, APPROXIMATELY 227 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 242055Z SSMIS 91GHZ COLOR COMPOSITE IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH A SOUTHERN FORMATIVE BAND WRAPPING INTO AN EXPOSED LLC. INVEST 96W IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, WHICH HAS MAINTAINED EXTENSIVE CONVERGENT WESTERLIES AND SOUTHERLIES ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERIES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT AS CHARACTERIZED BY WARM (29-30C) SST, LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND STRONG EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS REMAIN IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT OVERALL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS AS INVEST 96W TRACKS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WHILE QUICKLY INTENSIFYING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 242230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. NNNN