ABPW10 PGTW 240130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/240030Z-240600ZSEP2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231952ZSEP2022//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231951ZSEP2022//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 23SEP22 1800Z, TROPICAL STORM 18W (NORU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
17.2N 129.3E, APPROXIMATELY 504 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, 
PHILIPPINES, AND HAD TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 232100) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) AT 23SEP22 1800Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (TALAS) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 137.2E, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTHWEST OF YOKOSUKA, 
JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 232100) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.8N 
147.7E, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 232111Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE 
DEPICT AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED, FLARING CONVECTION WITH A BROAD, 
POORLY ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. INVEST 96W IS EMBEDDED WITHIN 
THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, WHICH HAS MAINTAINED 
EXTENSIVE CONVERGENT WESTERLIES AND SOUTHERLIES ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND 
EASTERN PERIPHERIES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY 
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT AS CHARACTERIZED BY WARM (29-30C) 
SST, LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND STRONG EQUATORWARD AND 
POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 
OVERALL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 36-48 HOURS AS 
THE LOW TRACKS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WHILE QUICKLY INTENSIFYING. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//
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