ABPW10 PGTW 201700
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/201700Z-210600ZSEP2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.5N 138.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 139.7E, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM 
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO-TO. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH ORGANIZING CONVECTION AND IMPROVED 
FORMATIVE BANDING IN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. A 201200Z AMSU-B 89GHZ PASS 
CONFIRMS THE IMPROVED FORMATIVE BANDING IN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. THE 
SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY OVER WARM (29-30C) SST AND LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR WITH A TROUGH SITUATED TO THE WEST OF 94W INCREASING 
THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LEADING TO AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94W WILL 
CONTINUE ON ITS NORTHWARD TRACK AND ARE NOW IN BETTER AGREEMENT ON ITS 
SLOW TO MODERATE INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH GFS 
CONTINUING TO BE THE MOST AGGRESSIVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 17 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
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