ABPW10 PGTW 120200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/120200Z-120600ZSEP2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111952ZSEP2022//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111951ZSEP2022//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120153ZSEP2022//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 11SEP22 1800Z, TYPHOON 14W (MUIFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 
124.3E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, AND HAD TRACKED 
NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF 
A (WTPN32 PGTW 112100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 11SEP22 1800Z, TROPICAL STORM 15W (FIFTEEN) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 21.5N 161.0E, APPROXIMATELY 341 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 112100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
26.8N 143.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 139.1E, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM 
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS 
A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING IN THE 
SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A 
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE SYSTEM SITS BELOW A WEAK UPPER 
LEVEL LOW WITH LIMITED EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (5-10 KNOTS) VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS 
ARE IN RELATIVE AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 92W WILL REMAIN GENERALLY QUASI-
STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
HIGH. SEE REF C (WTPN21 PGTW 120200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO HIGH//
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