ABPW10 PGTW 110600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/110600Z-120600ZSEP2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110152ZSEP2022//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZSEP2022//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 11SEP22 0000Z, TYPHOON 14W (MUIFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 
124.5E, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, AND HAD TRACKED 
NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS GUSTING TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A 
(WTPN32 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 11SEP22 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 21.2N 159.5E, APPROXIMATELY 354 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MINAMI TORI 
SHIMA, AND HAD TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING 
TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
27.0N 144.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 143.4E, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM 
NORTHEAST OF IWO TO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 
110250Z HIMIWARI 8 IMAGE DEPICT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH 
FORMATIVE BANDING AND DEEP CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF 
THE LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH FAIR EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, WARM 
(29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND LOW (10-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 92W WILL TRACK 
GRADUALLY SOUTHWESTWARD AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 48-72 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL 
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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