ABPW10 PGTW 102130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/102130Z-110600ZSEP2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101952ZSEP2022//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101951ZSEP2022//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 10SEP22 1800Z, TYPHOON 14W (MUIFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 
125.0E, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, AND HAD 
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 102100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 10SEP22 1800Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 159.8E, APPROXIMATELY 377 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF 
MINAMI TORI SHIMA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 102100) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
26.6N 147.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 144.8E, APPROXIMATELY 231 NM 
NORTH OF IWO TO. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY 
AND A 101600Z AMSR2 COMPOSITE IMAGE DEPICT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION 
(LLC) WITH FORMATIVE BANDING AND DEEP CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWESTERN 
PERIPHERY OF THE LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH FAIR EQUATORWARD 
OUTFLOW, WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND LOW (10-15 KNOTS) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 92W 
WILL TRACK GRADUALLY WESTWARD AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 
48-72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
20.9N 159.8E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 
PARA. 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(2) TO 
WARNING STATUS AND UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
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