ABPW10 PGTW 100230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100230Z-100600ZSEP2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091951ZSEP2022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 09SEP22 1800Z, TYPHOON 14W (MUIFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 
126.8E, APPROXIMATELY 388 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF 
A (WTPN32 PGTW 092100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
27.2N 147.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 147.5E, APPROXIMATELY 672 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL (MSI) SATELLITE 
IMAGERY AND A 092054Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A FULLY OBSCURED 
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION TRACKING TO WEST-
SOUTHWEST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, FAIR EQUATORWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM 
(28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 
INVEST 92W WILL GRADUALLY TRACK WEST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH 
LITTLE TO NO DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
24.7N 159.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 158.4E, APPROXIMATELY 479 NM 
WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL (MSI) SATELLITE 
IMAGERY AND A 091823Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT 
FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR, GOOD NORTHWESTWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE ALL IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93W WILL 
TRACK NORTH-NORTHEAST AND CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT 36-48 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2) TO 
MEDIUM. ////
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