ABPW10 PGTW 091330
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/091330Z-100600ZSEP2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090751ZSEP2022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 09SEP22 0600Z, TROPICAL STORM 14W (MUIFA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 19.2N 128.7E, APPROXIMATELY 441 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, AND HAD 
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 090900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 27.2N 
147E, APPROXIMATELY 630 NM SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN. ANIMATED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 091053Z ASCAT-B PASS DEPICTS A FULLY 
OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION DIRECTLY 
OVERHEAD AND 20 KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTH EAST. HIMAWARI-8 090300Z 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS 92W IS IN A LOW (10-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORIAL OUTFLOW, BOTH FAVORABLE 
FOR DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 
92W WILL GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY TRACKING WEST OVER THE 
NEXT FEW DAYS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE 29-30C, MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS LOW.
      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 24.7N 
159.6E, APPROXIMATELY 343 NM SOUTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND.  ANIMATED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION 
TRACKING TO THE WEST. HIMAWARI-8 090300Z ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS 
93W IS IN A LOW (10-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH 
GOOD EQUATORIAL OUTFLOW, BOTH FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS 
ARE ALL IN AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL TRACK NORTH AND DEVELOP OVER THE 
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE 28-29C, MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) AND 1.B.
(2).//
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