ABPW10 PGTW 190600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/190600Z-200600ZAUG2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
15.3N 133.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 131.4E, APPROXIMATELY 709 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. A 190109Z ASCAT-C PARTIAL PASS DEPICTS A 
TROPICAL WAVE FEATURE WITH A LARGE SWATH OF MOSTLY 15KT CONVERGENT 
SOUTHERLY WINDS WITH A FEW 30KT WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. 
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS SCATTERED POCKETS OF 
DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENT FLOW. A 
190317Z GMI 89GHZ PARTIAL PASS INDICATES DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION 
WITH NO EVIDENCE OF A DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT DEFINED 
BY WEAK POLEWARD AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (5-10KT) VWS 
AND VERY WARM (29-30C) SST VALUES. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE 
INTENSIFICATION OF 93W BUT GENERALLY AGREE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY 
MEANDER ALONG A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK TOWARD TAIWAN. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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