ABPW10 PGTW 310600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/310600ZJUL2022-010600ZAUG2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310151ZJUL2022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 31JUL22 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (SONGDA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 33.4N 122.8E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHWEST OF KUNSAN AB, AND HAD 
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. 
SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 310300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
21.8N 128.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 127,7E, APPROXIMATELY 29 NM SOUTH 
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
AND A 302034Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD, RAGGED 
CIRCULATION WITH FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE SOUTHERN 
PERIPHERY. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KNOTS IN THE 
OKINAWA REGION WITH SEA LEVEL PRESSURE VALUES AROUND 999 MB. THE SYSTEM 
IS LOCATED ON THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF A MONSOON GYRE WITH EXTENSIVE 
CONVERGENT  SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND 
LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN 
GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 95W WILL PROPAGATE NORTHWEST TO NORTH-
NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 DAYS WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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