ABPW10 PGTW 262230 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/262230Z-270600ZJUL2022// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/262151ZJUL2022// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT./ RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 145.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 142.6E, APPROXIMATELY 206 NM NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DEEPENING AND EXPANDING SYSTEM WITH SIGNS OF FORMATIVE BANDING IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT FEEDING INTO AN ASSESSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 261214Z ASCAT-C PASS SHOWS A SHARP TROUGH AT THE SURFACE WITH 20 KNOT WINDS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT ALONG WITH A SMALL PATCH OF 25 KNOT WINDS LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ANALYSIS INDICATES AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A WESTWARD TRANSITING TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL. THE SAME TUTT CELL IS ENHANCING POLEWARD OUTFLOW THAT IS OFFSETTING THE SUBSIDENCE. ADDITIONALLY, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS LOW (10-15KTS) TOWARDS THE CENTER OF THE LLC, AND VERY WARM (29- 30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AND DEEPEN OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO HIGH.// NNNN