ABPW10 PGTW 260600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/260600Z-270600ZJUL2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 15.2N 145.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 144.6E, APPROXIMATELY 
109 NM NORTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
SHOWS FLARING CONVECTION AND FRAGMENTED BANDING AROUND A BROAD LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION (LLC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
CONDITIONS DUE TO A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE 
NORTHEAST CAUSING UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERIES. 
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE TUTT RECEDES, THE OUTFLOW WILL BECOME MORE 
FAVORABLE ACCOMPANIED BY LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND 
WARM (30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST). NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN 
GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AND SLOWLY DEEPEN 
OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED 
AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 
1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
    (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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