ABPW10 PGTW 260600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/260600Z-270600ZJUL2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 15.2N 145.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 144.6E, APPROXIMATELY 
109 NM NORTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE 
IMAGERY SHOW FLARING CONVECTION AND FRAGMENTED BANDING AROUND A 
BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS 
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS DUE TO A WEAKENING TRPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC 
TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE NORTHEAST CAUSING UPPER LAYER WEAK 
CONVERGENCE OVER INVEST 93W. AS THE TUTT DISSIPATES, THE OUTFLOW 
WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE ACCOMPANIED BY LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND WARM (30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST). 
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL TRACK 
NORTHWESTWARD AND DEEPEN OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS IS LOW.
    (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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