ABPW10 PGTW 230600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/230600Z-240600ZJUL2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 20.6N 
139.5E, APPROXIMATELY 274 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO-TO, JAPAN.  
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAKLY-DEFINED PARTLY 
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH DEEP FLARING CONVECTION TO THE 
EAST AND FLARING CONVECTION TO THE WEST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (5 TO 10 KNOT) VWS AND MODERATE DUAL 
CHANNEL OUTFLOW BOTH NORTH-EASTERLY AND SOUTH-WESTERLY. GLOBAL MODELS ARE 
IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND TRACK 
NORTH BETWEEN TWO SUBTROPICAL RIDGES, ONE TO THE NORTH EAST AND THE OTHER 
TO THE NORTH WEST. THIS COMPETING STEERING ENVIRONMENT, A DROP IN SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASE IN VWS WILL LIKELY LIMIT DEVELOPMENT 
IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED 
AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 
1007 MB AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE 30-31C. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS 
LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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