ABPW10 PGTW 300600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/300600Z-310600ZMAY2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOSLY LOCATED NEAR 
5.5N 132.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 129.5E, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI, PHILIPPINES. A 292122Z ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE SHOWS DISORGANIZED, PERSISTING 
CONVECTION WITH A POORLY ORGANIZED LLC. A RECENT METOP-C ASCAT PASS 
REVEALS A PATCH OF 15-20KT WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE 
AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE INVEST IS IN A 
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY WESTWARD 
OUTFLOW, LOW (5-10KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (30C). GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT THAT THE 
INVEST WILL TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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