ABPW10 PGTW 170130 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/170130Z-170600ZMAY2022// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.5S 171.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7S 171.6E, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CONSOLIDATING CONVECTION OBSCURING A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). INVEST 91P IS PRIMARILY SUPPORTED BY NEARLY RADIAL OUTFLOW AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST), AND DEVELOPMENT IS MARGINALLY OFFSET BY MODERATE (10-20KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT INVEST 91P WILL MEANDER SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AS IT CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND STRENGTHEN. GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS CONTINUE TO TAKE A MORE AGGRESSIVE SOLUTION FOR INTENSIFICATION WITH 91P WHILE THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS REMAIN CONSISTENT ON ONLY A SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.// NNNN