WTXS31 PGTW 110900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARIM) WARNING NR 009// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARIM) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z --- NEAR 19.1S 95.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S 95.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 18.4S 96.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 16.8S 97.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 15.0S 98.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110900Z POSITION NEAR 18.9S 95.5E. 11MAY22. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1083 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A RAPIDLY DECAYING SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED AS IT MOVED INTO AN STRONG 30+ KTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND THE OUTER REGION OF THE JET STREAM TO THE SOUTH. TC 25S TRACKED OVER MUCH COOLER (24-25C) WATERS WHICH KILLED ALL OF THE CONVECTION THAT WAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LLC. THE UPPER LEVEL PORTION OF TC 25S HAS DETACHED COMPLETELY FROM THE LLC AS NOTICED ON THE MSI LOOP, ALONG WITH COLD-AIR STRATOCUMULUS LINES WRAPPING INTO THE LLC. PGTW LATEST FIX FOR THIS SYSTEM WAS AT A T1.0/25KTS, WHILE ADT INDICATES T2.7/41KTS. THE LLC IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST THEN TURN NORTH, AND DISSIPATE QUICKLY OVER THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN BEFORE REACHING THE COCOS ISLANDS BY TAU 36. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 18 FEET.// NNNN