ABPW10 PGTW 020600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS 020600Z-030600ZMAY2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 5.2N 128.6E, IS NOW NEAR 5.4N 128.3E, APPROXIMATELY 192NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF DAVAO, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 012145Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A 
WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK BANDING 
WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC.THERE IS FLARING, DISORGANIZED CONVECTION IN 
THE VICINITY OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER, WITH A LARGER AREA OF MORE 
DEFINED AND CONSOLIDATED CONVECTION DISPLACED WELL TO THE 
NORTHWEST OVER MINDANAO. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATESFAIR 
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (5-10KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM 
(29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT 
THAT THE SYSTEM WILL DRIFT SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BUT DO NOT 
INDICATE SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION WITHIN 48-72HRS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
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