ABIO10 PGTW 240300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
REISSUED/240300Z-241800ZAPR2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240151ZAPR2022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF 
AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 24APR22 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (JASMINE) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 17.5S 40.3E, APPROXIMATELY 282 NM NORTH OF EUROPA 
ISLAND, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 
35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 240300) FOR 
FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 16.0S 40.0E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. 
SEE PARA. 2.A(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 13.1S 100.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0S 100.8E, APPROXIMATELY 
239 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF COCOS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA.. ANIMATED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 231520Z BULLSEYE ASCAT METOP-B 
PASS REVEAL DEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH BANDS OF 20KT WINDS IN THE EASTERN 
PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR 
DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY; ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW, WARM (29-30C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY INCREASED (15-25KT) VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR. DUE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE SOUTH, GLOBAL MODELS 
ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 98S WILL HAVE LITTLE DEVELOPMENT AS IT 
REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL 
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO 
WARNING STATUS.////
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