ABIO10 PGTW 222030 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/222030Z-231800ZAPR2022// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221951ZAPR2022// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 42.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.1S 42.3E, APPROXIMATELY 96 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF NACALA, MOZAMBIQUE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 221606Z SSMIS 91GHZ PASS SHOW FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ADDITIONALLY, A PARTIAL 221817Z ASCAT METOP-C PASS DEPICTS SWATHS OF 30KT WINDS WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC FROM THE NORTHEAST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS INVEST 97S IS POSITIONED NEAR AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW THAT PROVIDES INCREASED OUTFLOW AND LOW-MODERATE (10-20KT) VWS. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT AS THE CIRCULATION TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD, WITH POTENTIAL LANDFALL IN 12 TO 24 HOURS AS A LIMITING FACTOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 222000) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO HIGH// NNNN