ABIO10 PGTW 220830
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN 
OCEAN/REISSUED/220830Z-221800ZAPR2022//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 12.0S 44.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.5S 42.7E, APPROXIMATELY 130 
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF NACALA, MOZAMBIQUE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS FLARING CONVECTION OVER A DEVELOPING LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 220329Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS 
CONVECTIVE BANDING DEVELOPING ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN 
PERIPHERIES OF THE CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS NEAR AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH 
POLEWARD AND EASTWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (5-10KTS) VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR, AND WARM (27-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS 
INDICATE CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT AS THE CIRCULATION TRACKS 
SOUTHWESTWARD, WITH POTENTIAL LANDFALL IN 12 TO 24 HOURS AS A 
LIMITING FACTOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 
TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO 
MEDIUM.//
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