ABIO10 PGTW 212100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/REISSUED/212100Z-221800ZAPR2022//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 
12.0S 44.9E, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM NORTH OF COMOROS ISLANDS. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERGY (EIR) AND A 211325Z SSMIS 91GHZ 
IMAGE DEPICT DEEP, FLARING CONVECTION WITHIN THE NORTH-NORTHWESTERN 
PERIPHERY OF THE BROAD SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAIR 
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (5-10KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28-
29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 
THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD 
OVER THE NEXT 48-72HRS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) IS LOW.//
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