ABPW10 PGTW 061530
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061530Z-070600ZAPR2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061451ZAPR2022//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061351ZAPR2022//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF B IS A 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 3.8N 148E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.6N 148.0E, APPROXIMATELY 322 NM 
SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING IN TO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION (LLC). ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED DUE TO 
STRONG RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY MODERATE TO HIGH (15-20KT) VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR. GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODELS AGREE THAT INVEST 95W WILL CONTINUE 
TRACK WEST AND GRADUALLY DEVELOP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 061500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 06APR22 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (FILI) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 20.7S 163.7E, APPROXIMATELY 158 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, 
NEW CALEDONIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 061500) FOR 
FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO 
HIGH.//
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