ABPW10 PGTW 060230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/060230Z-060600ZMAR2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 25.6S 171.8W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.1S 168.3W, APPROXIMATELY 
482 NM SOUTHEAST OF TONGA.THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A 
SUBTROPICAL STORM WITH ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(MSI) AND A 051747Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT FLARING CONVECTION 
DISPLACED TO THE EASTERN PERIPERHY OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 052000Z ASCAT-B PASS SHOWS 35KT WINDS 
IN IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANTS OF AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO INDICATE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS 
FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE (15-
20KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (27-28C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES. WHILE GLOBAL MODELS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 
96P WILL CONSOLIDATE, CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD, AND GRADUALLY 
INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 48-72HRS, THEY ALSO INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM 
WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY SUBTROPICAL IN NATURE. THERE REMAINS A 
BRIEF WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR THE SYSTEM TO REACH WARNING 
THRESHOLD AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM BEFORE BECOMING FULLY SUBTROPICAL. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) AS 
SUBTROPICAL.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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