ABIO10 PGTW 091800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/091800Z-101800ZFEB2022//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090251Z FEB 22//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 090300)//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 16.6S 105.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.9S 106.5E, APPROXIMATELY  
390NM SOUTH OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 091157Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A LOW 
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OBSCURED BY PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. THE 
ENVIRONMENT IS MARGINAL CHARACTERIZED BY WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (SST) OFFSET BY MODERATE TO HIGH (20-30 KT) VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND WEAK OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY 
FAVOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 
25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 
1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 
PGTW 090300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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