ABPW10 PGTW 080600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZFEB2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080252ZFEB2022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 19.7S 165.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.9S 167.0E, APPROXIMATELY 
152 NM SOUTHWEST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
IMAGERY AND A 080239Z AMSR2 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICT FORMATIVE BANDING 
WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC).  IN ADDITION, THERE ARE 
DEEP, FRAGMENTED POCKETS OF CONVECTION TO THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN 
PERIPHERIES OF THE LLC.  ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE 
CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT TO INCLUDE ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW, 
LOW-MODERATE (10-20KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE INVEST 
92P GRADUALLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND TRACKS 
EASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPS21 080300) FOR 
FURTHER DETAILS. 
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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