ABPW10 PGTW 311500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/311500ZJAN2022-010600ZFEB2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311100JAN2022//
ANPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 14.4S 150.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3S 151.3E, APPROXIMATELY 
145 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED EMHANCED INFRARED
(EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH 
FORMATIVE BANDING WITH DEEP CONVECTION THAT REMAINS FRAGMENTED AS 
SHOWN IN A 310854Z SSMIS PASS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW(10-15 KTS) VWS AND SOUTH EASTWARD 
OUTFLOW. DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE 
NEXT 12-24HRS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS EASTWARD.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 311100) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO 
HIGH//
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