ABPW10 PGTW 301500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/301500Z-310600ZJAN2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 
14.2S 149.6E, APPROXIMATELY 127 NM NORTH OF WILLIS ISLAND. A 301128Z 
METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWS 20 TO 25 KNOTS MAX WINDS AROUND AN 
ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH PATCHES OF 30KTS IN THE NORTHERN 
PERIPHERY UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY 
AND A 1208Z SSMIS 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED 
SYSTEM WITH LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) PARTLY EXPOSED AND DISPLACED 
SOUTHWARD FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A 
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, 
WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE OFFSET BY MODERATE (15-20 
KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AN AGREEMENT OF A 
WEAK AND SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED  AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO A 
LOW.//
NNNN