ABPW10 PGTW 260600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/260600Z-270600ZJAN2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 8.2N 124.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.4N 121.4E, APPROXIMATELY 177 
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTU PRINCESA, PHILLIPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 250330Z ENHANCED INFRA 
RED IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION IN THE NORTHEAST 
AND SOUTHWEST QUADRANTS WRAPPING INTO A WEAKLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION (LLC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY 
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS DEFINED BY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-
28C), LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR 
POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE 
WESTWARD TRACK OF INVEST 91W AND DESPITE THE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT, INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH WARNING 
CRITERIA IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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