ABIO10 PGTW 231530 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/231530Z-231800ZJAN2022// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231351ZJAN2022// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 23JAN22 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (SEVEN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5S 44.2E, APPROXIMATELY 212 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NACALA, MOZAMBIQUE, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 231500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.5S 48.4E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.6S 89.3E, APPROXIMATELY 493NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 231226Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DISPLAY DISORGANIZED CONVECTION AROUND A BROAD LLC. A 230349Z ASCAT-B IMAGE SHOWS SHARP TROUGHING WITH 15-20KT WINDS OVER THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS DEFINED BY FAIR OUTFLOW AND MODERATE TO HIGH (20-30 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. ECMWF AND GFS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE SOUTHWARD TO SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OF INVEST 96S WITH GFS PREDICTING MORE AGGRESSIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS AND ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(2).// NNNN