ABIO10 PGTW 220230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN REISSUED/220230Z-221800ZJAN2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220151ZJAN2022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT REISSUED.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 17.0S 54.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.8S 53.5E, APPROXIMATELY  
273NM NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY AND A 212158Z AMSR2 89HZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT FLARING 
DEEP CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF A PARTIALLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION (LLC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (29-31C), BEING OFFSET BY MODERATE (15-20KT) VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR. DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 
HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 220200) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REISSUED TCFA FOR INVEST 93S.//
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