ABPW10 PGTW 161000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/161000Z-170600ZJAN2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 19.2S 154.3W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.3S 156.4W, APPROXIMATELY 
314 NM SOUTHWEST OF BORA-BORA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
AND A 0528Z SSMIS 91GHZ PASS DEPICT FLARING CONVECTION IN THE 
EASTERN PERIPHERY OF A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 160735Z 
ASCAT-C PASS REVEALS WINDS OF 25-30 KNOTS TO THE SOUTH OF THE LLC. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
DEVELOPMENT, DEFINED BY POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (5-10KT) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 91P WILL CONTINUE TO 
TRACK WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO 
MEDIUM.//
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