WTPS31 PGTW 131500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (CODY) WARNING NR 020// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (CODY) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z --- NEAR 26.9S 177.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.9S 177.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z --- 27.8S 177.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 131500Z POSITION NEAR 27.1S 177.1E. 13JAN22. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (CODY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 534 NM SOUTH OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAGGED, DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SHEARED CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH. THE INITIAL POSITION IS ASSESSED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE AN EXTRAPOLATION OF A 130939Z ASCAT-B PASS, PLACED IN THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE ELONGATED CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LIKEWISE BASED ON THE SAME SCATTEROMETER PASS, WHICH SHOWED AN EXTENSIVE SWATH OF 50 KNOT WINDS EXTENDING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. AUTOMATED AND SUBJECTIVE PHASE CLASSIFICATION ANALYSES CONFIRM THAT TC 05P HAS TRANSITIONED TO A STORM FORCE SUBTROPICAL LOW. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WHILE THE FORECAST ONLY EXTENDS TO 12 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWARD AS A STRONG GALE TO STORM- FORCE SUBTROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH AN EXPANSIVE GALE-FORCE WIND FIELD. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 22 FEET.// NNNN