ABPW10 PGTW 090600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZJAN2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090151ZJAN2022//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/082321ZJAN2022//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 09JAN22 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (FIVE) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 18.3S 174.7E, APPROXIMATELY 211 NM WEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAD 
TRACKED EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 090300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 13.7S 147.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S 147.3E, APPROXIMATELY 97 
NM NORTH OF BOUGAINVILLE REEF, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION SURROUNDING A WELL DEFINED 
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO 
THIS LLC. A 090406Z AMSR2 COLOR COMPOSITE 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE 
SHOWS WELL DEFINED CONVECTIVE BANDING ON THE WEST SIDE, WITH WEAKER 
LOW LEVEL BANDS EXTENDING TO THE EAST, AND A NASCENT MICROWAVE EYE 
FEATURE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM 
(29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY MODERATE (15-20KT) 
VERTICAL WINDS HEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 90P 
WILL TRACK WESTWARD WHILE INTENSIFYING, MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE 
EASTERN COAST OF THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 
HOURS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPS21 PGTW 
082330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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