ABPW10 PGTW 281800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/281800Z-290600ZDEC2021//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION 
(INVEST 97S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9S 132.5E IS NOW LOCATED 
NEAR 16.1S 130.9E,APPROXIMATELY 20 NM NORTH OF MORNINGTON ISLAND. 
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE, COMPOSITE RADAR REFLECTIVITY 
FROM ABOM, AND RECENT ASCAT DATA DEPICT A BROAD AND GROSSLY 
ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) THAT 
STRETCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA (GOC). THE MAIN 
CONVECTION IS SHEARED SOUTHEASTWARD OF THE LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH VERY 
WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW 
OFFSET BY MODERATE (15-20KT) RELATIVE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND CLOSE 
PROXIMITY TO LAND. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 
THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE 
GOC, ACROSS CAPE YORK PENINSULA, AND EXIT INTO THE CORAL SEA NEAR 
CAIRNS WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS 
MEDIUM.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: TRANSFERRED THE AREA IN PARA 2.B(1) 
TO THE ABPW.//
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